US Political Odds

Political events forecasting and analysis from top prediction markets

2026 US Senate Control

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View full Senate 2026 odds
  • Newsom
    29.2%
  • AOC
    11.4%
  • Beshear
    9.3%
  • Ossoff
    8.6%
  • Buttigieg
    7.4%
  • Harris
    6.6%
  • Shapiro
    6.4%
  • Pritzker
    3.7%
  • Whitmer
    3.1%
  • Moore
    2.6%
  • Vance
    41.1%
  • Rubio
    25.1%
  • DeSantis
    4.1%
  • Trump
    4.0%
  • Kemp
    2.4%
  • Youngkin
    2.2%
  • Gabbard
    2.0%
  • Haley
    1.3%
  • Trump Jr.
    0.0%
  • Vance
    21.3%
  • Newsom
    19.2%
  • Rubio
    10.8%
  • AOC
    6.4%
  • Shapiro
    3.2%
  • Harris
    3.0%
  • Buttigieg
    2.9%
  • Trump
    2.3%
  • Whitmer
    1.9%
  • DeSantis
    1.9%

Latest Articles

President Markets

Vance+2249.0%
Rubio27.0%
Kemp5.0%
Newsom+1.919.1%
Vance17.2%
Rubio8.2%

Senate Markets

Democrats+1058.0%
Republicans48.0%
Independent1.0%

House Markets

Democrats+5779.0%
Republicans22.0%
Democrats+2661.0%
Republicans35.0%
Democrats+3165.0%
Republicans34.0%

Governor Markets

General Markets

Spain+0.917.1%
France16.2%
England11.4%
Democrats+18.358.0%
Republicans39.7%
Other2.2%
Newsom+2.120.0%
Vance17.9%
Rodgers9.1%

International Markets